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Zimbabwe heading for a Rwandan-style genocide?

Alex Matthews
16 August 2009

Alex Matthews on the unnerving parallels between the situation in the two countries

Zimbabwe heading towards a Rwandan genocide
by Alex Matthews

Once upon a time there was an African country that after several years of instability seemed to be moving shakily towards reform and democracy. Its ageing despotic president had signed a power-sharing deal with the opposition that created a unity government that would precipitate a new constitution and elections.

Sounds rather like Zimbabwe, doesn't it? But I was actually describing Rwanda in early 1994 - only months before a genocide that would claim almost a million lives. While the Arusha Accords were being haphazardly implemented (but more often than not being ignored), fanatics in the countryside were setting up militia training bases.

Arms and military advisers were being flown in to train and equip these ragtag groupings. President Habyarimana's assassination in April 1994 was the catalyst for a hundred days of massacres, rape and torture.

Zimbabwe is in an eerily similar situation to the one that Rwanda was experiencing before its genocide.  After a decade of brutality and economic devastation, it is tempting to hope that Zanu PF's "partnership" with the opposition Movement for Democratic Change (MDC) shows that Zimbabwe is irreversibly on the road to recovery.

Sadly, however, what we see in Zimbabwe is nothing but a false dawn: a Potemkin peace designed to lure us into the same indifferent complacency with which the world viewed Rwanda in 1994.

The violent repression that has characterised Zanu PF's rule continues, flouting the provisions of the Global Political Agreement (GPA), the power-sharing agreement signed with the opposition in September. Zanu PF considers the unity deal after its defeat at the March 29 polls last year as a mere speed bump in its path of continued authoritarian rule - a speed bump which creates the illusion that it is prepared to accept reform and genuine democracy.

Don't be fooled. Activists, lawyers and MDC supporters continue to be unlawfully harassed and detained. Senior opposition leaders face death threats. Opposition members of parliament are being targeted with ridiculous criminal charges by a brazenly partisan police and judiciary. Five have already been convicted (MPs have to resign if they serve a jail-term longer than six months).

The Zanu PF militias that unleashed a wave of brutality on suspected MDC supporters as punishment for the 2008 election result, have been accused by teachers of setting up "terror bases" at schools.

Even more frightening (and chillingly reminiscent of the prelude to Rwanda's genocide when French weapons were despatched en-masse to Kigali) is the build-up of weapons in Zimbabwe.

Last month the International Peace Information Service (IPIS) revealed that in April 2008, Chinese arms (including several million rounds of ammunition as well as RPC7 rockets and mortars) destined for Zimbabwe reached to Luanda, Angola. It has been confirmed that the arms have subsequently reached Harare. Later, in August, an additional 53 tons of ammunition were flown to Harare from the Democratic Republic of the Congo in August 2008.

There's more. David Maynier, the Democratic Alliance's defence spokesperson, has revealed that South Africa is seeking authorisation from its National Conventional Arms Control Committee (NCACC) to export ammunition to its neighbour. Maynier has been subsequently vilified by the ANC ruling party which seems more obsessed by how the opposition MP found out about the application than about what the arms will be used for should they be authorised for export.

President Mugabe has unleashed his military on innocent civilians before - in 1982 he used North Korean-trained troops to torture and massacre thousands in Matabeleland for their alleged support for Zapu, a rival anti-colonialist movement that he eventually forced to merge
with his own party.

His army's abysmal rights record continues, with Human Rights Watch recently exposing the army's invasion of the Marange diamond fields in November 2008 where it has subsequently subjected locals to forced labour, torture and murder.

Two South African MPs, Wilmot James and Kenneth Mubu, who returned earlier this month from Zimbabwe on a fact-finding mission reported:

"There are reports from credible sources of increasing paramilitary activity in the countryside..."

They explained, "Under his [Mugabe's] personal control he has a paramilitary machine consisting of soldiers, thugs, the so-called war veterans and ZANU political commissars. There are the hit squads. The police also collaborate..." They also have reason to believe that in addition to the arms exports uncovered by IPIS, "Mugabe is talking to Venezuela, Cuba and Korea to fund a war-chest in preparation for the referendum and election following on the implementation of the GPA."

While Rwanda's genocide was powered by ethnic hatred, this was merely a pretext: the tragedy was deliberately orchestrated by a shadowy ruling clique which knew its power was in jeopardy, and which refused to sacrifice it at all cost.  So while ethnic tensions in Zimbabwe are no where near the levels of those in Rwanda in 1994, a similar intensity of hatred exists, as does the same desperate willingness for its rulers to do whatever it takes to remain in power.

The arms flooding in and the paramilitary training in the countryside are deliberate preparations for war - a war to be inflicted by home grown postcolonial imperialists on an innocent and undeserving citizenry so that Zanu PF's rapacious supremacy can continue.

We cannot ignore the warning signs. We know what happened in Rwanda in 1994. The world looked away while almost a million people were slaughtered. Will we let this happen in Zimbabwe?

Alex Matthews is a freelance journalist, politics blogger and editor of TheSoapbox.fm (http://thesoapbox.fm)

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 responses to this article

the double wammy
the anc govmnt is selling arms to zim and therefore will have directly contributed to this when it happens.....then these very same weapons and arms will then find their way back into sa and used in crime......

by onlooker on August 16 2009, 17:32
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Genocide is coming!
The genocide you are talking about is within your imagination and wishes. You will get used to it that Zimbabwean people only need peace, unity and be left alone by people like you who thrife upon chaos of other countries.

by Josh on August 16 2009, 17:55
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In your mind.
There will not be land for a small minority while the majority goes without. What is it with you that you are so obsessed with getting resources and subjecting locals to poverty. You come under the guise of human rights etc and rule of law. Yet you apply . .more

by N Moyo on August 16 2009, 19:25
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The shackled continent
Moyo the majority don't own the land either, only a small ruling elite do.
Why don't African leaders (sic) give title deeds to the citizens and give them access to collatoral and a way out of poverty? Maybe so they can manipulate and bribe them with . .more

by Frank Talk on August 16 2009, 21:15
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Shackeled Continent
I have information on the ground, there are many people who now own it some who do not support Zanu, you have a problem of preaching what the foreign press has been saying without facts on the ground. Talk of Tittle deeds this is what the government wants . .more

by N Moyo on August 17 2009, 00:12
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To N Moyo
Your name indicates that you come from Matabeleland. If so, please can you provide more specific details about your grandparents loss of land and their cattle. Times, names and places please.
The CFU was never resisting land reform. They offered . .more

by D Sibanda on August 17 2009, 06:02
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To D Sibanda
You should know that there was a constitutional clause to protect white farmland for ten years, and voting rights etc. Read the documents carefully and follow on with the land donor conference in the late 90's. Get Claire short's reply to the then . .more

by N Moyo on August 17 2009, 12:32
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Decline and fall of Africa
Africa has been disgracing itself ever since decolonisation. From Saviour Kwame Nkrumah to Thabo Mbeki. and from Rwanda to the Sudan. There is every reason why the worst should not now happen in Zimbabwe ... Mugabe still holds the key -- and the weaponry, . .more

by s.n. on August 17 2009, 12:32
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what are you proposing be done Mr Alex Matthews, an invasion??
Zim won't be invaded and have foreign laws imposed on it. Let the SADC do what it can and must policies were introduced by US,Britain.etc in 2001 which bankrupted Zim's economy and its people they can't pretend now to care. They did this with the aim of . .more

by ole' on August 17 2009, 13:04
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ole'
After reading some off the comments , I am amazed at the fact that the real issue that Zimbabwe 's downfall is blamed on the USA and UK . When are the people off Zimbabwe going to take responsblity for their part in the downfall off the country . . .more

by Ruby on August 17 2009, 17:28
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Moyo
Hey Moyo ....While Smith was running the country there was food , water an economy that worked . People had employment . Since the MADMAN has taken over , the people off ZIM have had none off the above . Perhaps you guy's should stop arguing about land . .more

by Ruby on August 17 2009, 17:40
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ole' Don't invade!!


Please ole' Please! Don't suggest an invasion!!

The Zimbabweans forces will shoot the SANDF to pieces!!

by JVR on August 17 2009, 18:10
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The Genocide is already happening...
When a nation boasts a life expectancy of 34 years in the 21st century one can only logically conclude that there is a genocide in progress. As we speak.

And it will get worse. Will SADC respond to a bloodbath in the region? I doubt it.

by Belle on August 17 2009, 18:44
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The Problem is on Both Sides
It's so easy to point at Mugabe and call him a monster. It's so easy to point at Rhodesia and call it monstrous. It takes no keen insight, wisdom, or imagination to do so.

by TeeGee on August 17 2009, 20:05
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Continued from above...
RHODESIA. To those of you heaping blame on white farmers for Zim being the country arguably most desperately in trouble in the world.... stop being so small of mind. Mugabe and his henchman do NOT care about you. They have been looting Zimbabwe for the . .more

by TeeGee on August 17 2009, 20:06
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Continue from above...
But I'm actually very worried that Zim will NOT figure it out. Just look at the debate above. Anyone who blames Mugabe without seeing what white rule did to this country is blind. Anyone who blames white rule without seeing that Mugabe is willing to kill . .more

by TeeGee on August 17 2009, 20:10
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You swallowed that hook, TeeGee
TeeGee, you have swallowed the Left Revisionist history of Southern Africa by hook, line and sinker... take it from somewhat who visited Rhodesia in the 1970s when it was still a working state. You on the other hand, were never there, while I have . .more

by JVR on August 17 2009, 23:32
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To N Moyo
There was no such clause as you state to protect White farmland for 10 years. All land had to be offred to the state first and if the state didn't want it, a certificate of no interetst was issued and the vendor was then allowed to sell to any . .more

by D Sibanda on August 18 2009, 00:29
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Stop Politicizing..Start Solving.
JVR, you are defending the Rhodesian framework? I am not saying you benefited from it. What I am saying is...you do not understand it. There is no defensible government in the world that is ruled continually by a minority, whose leader says that citizens . .more

by TeeGee on August 18 2009, 00:54
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Continued from above...
JVR, this is no left-leaning political philosophy. Sorry. I am a libertarian who meets, reads, listens, asks, learns, challenges. Have you studied Mitchell and the peace struck in Northern Ireland? It requires that you see truth in the middle. I am . .more

by TeeGee on August 18 2009, 00:54
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Do we all understand this.
Ian Smith is Robert Mugabe.

Robert Mugabe is Ian Smith.

Until both sides see that this is nearer to the truth than not, the problems just deepen. The namecalling gains momentum. The battles begin. And who dies who should not? More . .more

by TeeGee on August 18 2009, 00:58
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Mugabe = Smith
JVR, Mugabe = Ian Smith. Doesn't matter if there was a chicken in every pot. He did not believe in the vote (you had to "qualify"...comical). It is indefensible, in my opinion. Sure, the environment is worse now -- far worse. But it is because the . .more

by TeeGee on August 18 2009, 01:13
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Why
Why are my posts being removed -- comparing Mugabe to Ian Smith?

by TeeGee on August 18 2009, 01:34
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You have it wrong Mr TeeGee

DId you ever visit Rhodesia Mr TeeGee?

Now there are statements like "99% of worked Agri-land in Zim were in white hands", one sees that even today in the news. Consider the following explanation: white Anglos who went to the colonies . .more

by JVR on August 18 2009, 02:16
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Actually Cecil John Rhodes=Rhodesia
That's Imperialism at its best so stop wishing for those years and please relinquish your ignorant supremacist thoughts.

by ole' on August 18 2009, 06:44
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This Moyo chap is an indicator
of how bad things are. Obviously not a total cretin (the man reads Moneyweb after all) but nevertheless a typical African denialist and therefore of little use to mankind, let alone his fellow Zimbabweans. Tragically Zim is going the Rwandan route and the . .more

by Dave on August 18 2009, 10:23
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Gasp.
JVR, you're not going to start quoting Kissinger here, are you? Gracious. I hope you can come to see my point that the world isn't merely economic. Let me ask you how you'd feel if I could prove in a court of law that I could better use the land you live . .more

by TeeGee on August 18 2009, 11:27
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Don't agree with TeeGee
There is a big difference between the ruling whites of Rhodesia and the ruling blacks of Zim now. You seem to try to put them on the same level, comparing apples with pears. As the whites created a strong healthy economy that kept all healthy, I would . .more

by TeeGeeIsStereotype on August 18 2009, 13:52
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The seriously irritating part is:
Africans accuse whites of being racist etc, they turn out to be viciously more racist amongst themselves, destroy their economies, countires, health, education etc, all the while blaming in SA case: APARTHEID! In Zim's case, and the rest of . .more

by Lionel on August 18 2009, 15:56
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Who cares a damn?
Who really cares if Zimboes find a new way to suffer, this time by genocide? They are such a self destructive bunch of racist morons few rational conservatives care whether they survive (after a fashion) or not.

They brought this on themselves . .more

by Ivan Moor on August 18 2009, 16:42
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A ZIM GENOCIDE..??..??
What about the SA genocide that will be happening round about 2011 right after the world cup. Now that WILL be a genocide of genocides.

by ER on August 18 2009, 16:47
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Gasping mr TeeGee!

Mr TeeGee,

You failed to answer my question:

Have you ever visited Rhodesia?

I have, in the 1970s (and was saved by a black Rhodesian tour guide from a malevolent Zambian soldier). I talk as a primary witness. You argue . .more

by JVR on August 18 2009, 17:37
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The answer remains in the middle.
JVR,

The beauty in this discussion is that you try to present me as an apologist for Mugabe. If you scroll up and read, you'll see me calling out Mugabe for looting his country, killing his own people for power, and hiding Mengistu (while . .more

by TeeGee on August 18 2009, 21:02
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TeeGee to equate the murderer Mugabe with Ian Smith is absurd let
alone intellectually dishonest. What utter nonsense. Like the students that come to our little village. They are "previously disadvantaged" so they must be given entrance to waste tax payers money. While literate they cannot read and give a clear . .more

by semaarnet on August 18 2009, 22:23
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Moral relativism will never make it here, Mr TeeGee
No Mr TeeGee, I did not think that you were apologising for Mr Mugabe's excesses.

I often do apologise. Robert Mugabe is a hero in the eyes of many in Africa. Consider that he screwed the whites, showed a toffee to the West, did exactly as he . .more

by JVR on August 18 2009, 23:34
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I am writing a letter to the French
I am writing a letter to the French government, asking them to send Mugabe nuclear weapons. The French have always been so pragmatic about these things.

Teegee's attempt to equate Ian Smith and R Mugabe is proof that revisionist idiocy has . .more

by Darwin on August 19 2009, 09:01
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The relativism of moral relativism.
It would be nice if we could just wring relativity out of the universe. But JVR and Darwin, what if someone knocked on your door tomorrow, presented a printed version of your comments here, and jailed you for 11 years for criticizing Mugabe?

You . .more

by TeeGee on August 19 2009, 23:34
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And where does your argument lead?
My point is that arguments should target solutions..not winning college debates. So here's a solution. Inside and outside of Zim, there should be a deliberate attempt to spread rumors that Mugabe is out. Resigning. Suffering Alzheimer's. Pick your rumor. . .more

by TeeGee on August 19 2009, 23:39
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The answer is in the middle somewhere.
They found it there in Belfast. It was right in the middle. No one had a monopoly on being right. Does anyone here? If not, let's start working together to solve the problem, with EVERYONE around the table. I keep bringing up the disarmed Belfast because . .more

by TeeGee on August 19 2009, 23:44
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Smith was right about Mugabe, TeeGee.
No Mr TeeGee

Relativism is indeed part of the universe, but on an absolute scale Mugabe is worse than Smith by a large margin. I do not what that has to do with the speed of light or electrons in relativity? Smith did not kill he Ndbele, nor . .more

by JVR on August 19 2009, 23:46
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leave us alone
funny, rather not, how white men continue to nibble around and interfere with any and every thing african. for he knows the day africa stands united as a native people and energy, white imperialists shall tremble and shake..a predictable return to the . .more

by lord gambino on November 05 2009, 15:53
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