Why Malema's a problem for Zuma
JOHANNESBURG - In his recent reply to the debate on his state of the nation address President Jacob Zuma defended the right of Julius Malema to raise the issue of nationalisation. While making clear that this was not a policy of his government, he said he was not going to haul the ANCYL president into line.
He told the national assembly: "What members should do in an open democratic society is that if the president of the youth league, Julius Malema, raises an issue of nationalisation, they must raise their counterargument to him if they want to a debate on this. This must be done instead of saying to the government that they must stop him and make him keep quiet."
It is not difficult to rehearse the arguments as to why ‘nationalisation' would not be a particularly good thing for this country. There are no end of examples from the rest of Africa as to what the consequences are likely to be.
For example in 1973 Mobutu Sese Seko set about "returning" the wealth of Zaire "to the people", as Malema would like to do here, through a programme of "Zaireanisation." Michela Wrong writes that he decreed "that foreign-owned farms, plantations, commercial enterprises - mostly in the hands of Portuguese, Greek, Italian and Pakistani traders - should be turned over ‘to sons of the country'. This was followed by radicalisation, in which the largely Belgian-controlled industrial sector was confiscated."
"In theory, departing foreigners were to be compensated and the performance of new owners would be carefully monitored. In practice... no guidelines were drawn up to specify who got what. The result was an obscene scramble for freebies by the burgeoning Zairean elite. Thousands of businesses, totalling around $1 billion in value, were divided among top officials in the most comprehensive nationalisation seen in Africa."
"As expatriate managers headed for the airports, the new owners pocketed savings, sold herds, dumped equipment on local markets and ripped up bushes. The proceeds were spent on luxury items, with imports of Mercedes-Benz hitting an African record one year after Zaireanisation. Ordinary Zaireans, supposed beneficiaries of the process, watched in shock as businesses closed, prices rose, jobs were doled out by new bosses on purely nepotistic lines, and shelves emptied."
The Zairean economy had been doing quite well up until 1974, Wrong notes. But after Zaireanisation it went into a long and unstoppable decline. Efforts by the Mobutu regime to attract investors back to the country were futile. "Those who had put their faith in Zaire had been looted on the president's orders. In future, businessmen who ventured there would demand exceptionally high rates of return and quick profits to justify the risk they were running, and would be careful to repatriate their proceeds rather than invest."
Whatever the initial statement of intent, ‘nationalisation' is like a boulder on a steep hillside - it is initially difficult to get moving but once set in motion is almost impossible to stop or control. The probability is that any kind of expropriation process would rapidly degenerate into the wholesale looting of the economy, and the imposition of a dictatorship to protect the ruling elite's ill-gotten gains.
In the medium term the productive sector of the economy would be destroyed and with it our tax base. This would seriously erode the power and reach of the state, and its ability to act independently of outside influence. At best we will be reduced to an impoverished dependency of China or the West; at worst, the state will collapse, opening the way to warlordism and civil strife. As in Zaire, only vulture capitalists will be willing to fly back in to pick at the carcass remains.
Promoting a discussion on the merits of ‘nationalisation', in this context, is a bit like encouraging a debate on whether the best way of curing a mild headache is taking a Panado - or putting a loaded gun to one's head and pulling the trigger.
There is though a less obvious lesson from history that Zuma seems insufficiently mindful of. As Malema has correctly noted the ANC had a policy of wholesale nationalisation up until the early 1990s. This, as much as sanctions and calls for disinvestment, contributed to a falling away of investment in the South African economy in that period.
This was useful to the ANC in one sense, and harmful in another. On the one side it helped checkmate the NP's ability to govern. Without a growing economy and increasing tax revenues that regime could not try and spend its way out of trouble (at least in a sustainable fashion). On the other, Western support for the ANC's ascent to power in the early 1990s was conditional on it renouncing nationalisation as a policy.
Zuma may allow Malema to go around threatening the seizure of racial minority wealth but it is difficult to see how it will benefit him or his government. The threats are already so loud and persistent that they are drowning out whatever positive message the government is trying to convey. If such threats come to be seen as credible they will erode confidence in the future of the country and kill off inward investment as surely as they did in the late 1980s. But, this time around it will be the ANC's own ability to govern that will be fatally compromised.
Bibliography: Michela Wrong, In the Footsteps of Mr Kurtz, (Fourth Estate: London, 2001)
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Comments
. . . but do the intended beneficiaries of this wisdom have sufficient economic literacy to understand it? Probably not.
by Peter on February 24 2010, 01:53
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"If such threats come to be seen as credible they will erode confidence in the future of the country and kill off inward investment as surely as they did in the late 1980s."
Do you really think Mr Zuma and his cronies care about the imperialist and . .more
by Boerie on February 24 2010, 05:53
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For so long as section 25 of the Bill of Rights is in place, and the governing alliance continues to be short of the parliamentary majority necessary to amend it, any nationalisation will involve proper compensation to those expropriated. The trillions . .more
by Paul Hoffman on February 24 2010, 06:25
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The fact is that neither Zuma nor anyone else in the higher echelons of the ANC is doing anything at all to reign in this chump.
I don't know what this tells you but it surely tells me that malema is supported and encouraged.
Zuma of course, . .more
by Plutarch on February 24 2010, 07:08
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Initially, I thought Julius was just a radical young man and probably meant well. I was wrong. He is actually very mentally unstable: he is an idiot. The ANC has become an organisation of clowns and thieves. Unfortunately, the masses will continue to vote . .more
by Lucky Mashimane on February 24 2010, 07:15
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Can the ANC not produce one intelligent leader with high moral values?
by CM on February 24 2010, 07:19
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Firstly, if he's undermining a gang of out and outANC crooks leave the man be, we need him.
By example/ Well I would think Julius would be 'nationalising" his own 4x4 and his 'mining' holding ASAP. Those are the one's he has "resigned' from I belive.
by ER on February 24 2010, 07:20
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keep on this is africa
by ivan on February 24 2010, 07:24
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is simple. no need for a long article. he's a F. U. C. K. I. N. G. idiot!!!
by 1 on February 24 2010, 07:31
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On the one hand Zuma tells us that Malema is a future leader of the ANC. On the other hand he tells us that Malema is in conflict with ANC policy in the context of nationalisation.
The wellbeing of our economy and foreign direct investment are . .more
by gobsmacked on February 24 2010, 07:40
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Learned from history?
by donovan on February 24 2010, 07:41
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Apologies to Botswana, a model African nation if ever there was one. Largely shunned, of course, by SADC.
by donovan on February 24 2010, 07:42
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To insinuate that what happened in Zaire will happen in SA is very narrow minded, ignorant and blatant dumb. You give South African blacks no credit. Infact the opposite is true, you wish South Africa could be like Zaire. But then your article is . .more
by Jojo on February 24 2010, 08:22
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Since Malema is an ex-director of Ngkape Mining Investments (according to Cipro) and company names must reflect the main objective of a company, he obviously tried to get his hands on the wealth in the ground one way (mineral concessions in the norht?) . .more
by Theseus on February 24 2010, 08:27
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Malema will ultimately be defended only by those who have benefited from his patronage, so they say. Many members of the ANCYL feel betrayed by the recent revelation of Malema's opulence and the apparent lies he made to the media. The members say it is . .more
by passersby on February 24 2010, 08:32
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I,m sure this dog is another of Zumas illegitimate children !!!!!!
by George on February 24 2010, 08:45
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My, my Mr. Hoffman you are a clever fellow. Up till now the ANC has showed very little regard for the Constitution. Compensation would probably be the pipe dream you are muttering about. Nationalisation's tomorrow would be like Eben Venter's "Horrelpoot". . .more
by Koos on February 24 2010, 08:51
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There will be just enough to keep the elite in luxury. B***** everyone else.
by ps on February 24 2010, 08:55
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Have these people no sense of shame or pride? whatever happend to Ubuntu?
by pitie on February 24 2010, 09:02
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...playing with the keyboard again. You know Jojo, I cannot recall a single contribution of yours that was vaguely grammatically correct or remotely understandable. I for one would be interested in your theories,- if only they weren't written in . .more
by Voortrekker on February 24 2010, 09:06
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Did you read the article properly & did you read your words before releasing them into the public domain. Perhaps you should take off your very own racist blinkers and do a little research of your own . Zaire is just one example . If the writer had to . .more
by charles Ndlovu on February 24 2010, 09:07
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Zuma, having proven his shortcomings, are dpendant on Malema to remain in power. He also needs Malema to carry the nationalisation flag. Remember, Zuma's nephew and Zodwa Mandela owns a lot of worthless mines which will be valuable only if nationalised . .more
by Geanann on February 24 2010, 09:12
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The only ignorant stupid and dumb person here is yourself.There are numerous examples in Africa not only Zaire of how nationalisation has wrecked countries. Nationalisation is goverment theft of the public's interlectual property for the benfit of the . .more
by Mike on February 24 2010, 09:14
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They don't give a hoot. Live for today, you die tommorrow! Its a selfish, destructive nature that drives these people.
by DC on February 24 2010, 09:15
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In the current debate about Malema's millions, the ANC are very quick to point out that Malema is not a public servant, so the rules regarding tenders etc. do not apply to him.
In the same breath, Zuma instructs the nation to engage with Malema . .more
by Samjank on February 24 2010, 09:24
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Those who forget history are doomed to repeat it.
Africa is hardly a shining example to the rest of the world, so why should we follow any of the actions taken by African leaders in regard to issues such as nationalisation, communism . .more
by Samjank on February 24 2010, 09:26
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Both are uneducated, neither understand economics and both say the most ridiculous things. On top of that Zuma is tainted by that fraud and corruption issue which he would not have been able to escape in a 1st world country in my opinion. His main . .more
by The best the black people can do it seems on February 24 2010, 09:31
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Why doesnt the media just ignore Malema. Oh yes it sells newspapers. Ignorance is bliss, and if you ignore him, he will go away. Look at the Semenya issue that the media gave flame to...Its history now.
by TX on February 24 2010, 09:45
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Why this article, why the comments?
Ignore the animal Don't give him the oxygen of publicity & he must die! He is not worth the paper. He is not fit to be what in Zambia we used to call "the Chimboes Boy" - honeywagon operative!
He . .more
by CICERO on February 24 2010, 09:51
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Meanwhile South Africa is going down the tubes. Is all black leadership like this? Is there a black guy out there who can stop these people closing down South Africa? Where is the new Mandela? As for the World Cup I think one can say that that is not . .more
by Investor on February 24 2010, 10:10
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I'm beginning to understand what it was like to be a 'when we' and fear that sometime soon it might be time to become one.
by Robbie the Grape on February 24 2010, 10:14
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THe only people who are the problem for this country are hypocritical reactionary rightwinge. Malema initiated a debate and the issue is that those who want to cling to the means of wealth in this country must engage him on this issue.
by Iskariot on February 24 2010, 10:20
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... your epithets ("narrow minded, ignorant and blatant dumb") do not exactly constitute the constructive criticism that you demand of others. Take the log out of your own eye first!
Excellent arguments, Mr Myburgh. Now, if only Julius Malema . .more
by Saffer on February 24 2010, 10:21
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Absurd pronouncements....its funny how journalists twist reporting to propaganda...how can one in the right frame o mind liken Mabutho seseko to Malema...or ANC policies to that traitor?...I think the media has got it wrong again...NATIONALISATION IS . .more
by Xoli on February 24 2010, 10:22
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Yeah just ignore us....and go back to Europe...you've had enough of our wealth!!!!
by Xoli on February 24 2010, 10:24
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The fact is that human beings, black and white are much the same. Give a group of them unfettered power, and they will abuse it in pursuit of their own ends. One example is what happened in Zaire, another is what happened in the Soviet Union, and Kosovo, . .more
by flebus on February 24 2010, 10:33
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Try to write something coherent if you really have a point to make.
by AL on February 24 2010, 10:35
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I just love this. The ANC is imploding really fast, and in that implosion the various factions are scrambling to position themselves to take over. And the best tactic ic to discredit their opponents. And this dicrediting and exposing will continue for . .more
by Al on February 24 2010, 10:39
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Our next election will show whether Malema's, Zumas and their entire mafia's personal enrichment at the expense of the poor can stifle the misconception that the uneducated and unskilled majority will benefit from driving whites into the . .more
by Siegfried Hannig on February 24 2010, 10:53
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Ignore or write off julius at your own peril. He does not care nor need any approval from the current governing body he represents the people. It's now up to the masses to dethrone him - not likely when his words are music to their ears!
by Scared stiff. on February 24 2010, 10:56
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Good point by Samjank and Plutarch. It is also noteworthy that Jacob Regop stated that it is "not Government Policy" and that he is alarmingly quiet about whether this is ANC Policy or not. If it isn't (ANC Policy), then it would be fair to presume that . .more
by Sipho on February 24 2010, 10:57
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Nationalisation in RSA should develop through debate as a win-win policy for all concerned and not as in Zaire by a "decreed" - that is when things go wrong. In any case, the British has also grabbed (with guns) what did not belong to them in RSA. I say . .more
by Pierre on February 24 2010, 10:58
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_
by Greykie on February 24 2010, 10:58
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I never said Zaire is the only example. @ Voortrekker English is not my mother tounge and it is not my fault that I am the product of bantu education. I do not care about f*** grammar as long as you get the drift. which I think you do. You just playing . .more
by Jojo on February 24 2010, 11:01
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James, stating where it has failed does not mean the cocnept is wrong. The UK nationalised all key infrastructure post war to ensure that it extended to places that a business would not extend to as the IRR/NPV would not merit the business case. The UK . .more
by inwiththenew on February 24 2010, 11:01
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Yeah, jojo, it's not about race as you believe, but it pays the ANC to keep people like you thinking opposition to them is all about race. Do take a hard look at what these blighters (like Malema and the other tenderpreneurs) are up to.
Their . .more
by flebus on February 24 2010, 11:17
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I'm not sure whether hypocrites who write here understood the President or they blinded by their hatred for him. I will not comment much abou Julius because I personally think he's just an attention seeker who deserve to be taught a lot about politics and . .more
by Njabuliso on February 24 2010, 11:59
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Zaire was used as a case study.How many do you need to get the message.
by Mike on February 24 2010, 12:01
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It took Maggie Thatcher to pull the UK out of the pig mire because of the Labour Parties policies after the war and the only persons talking about nationalisation at the moment are the Labour Party who are about to be voted out.
Why id France . .more
by @inwiththenew on February 24 2010, 12:06
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To quote John Mauldin: "Japan is a bug in search of a windshield". The point being that Nationalisation did have an effect in UK post war and achieved the goals as set by a Labour Government as voted for at that time. The fact that later people who had . .more
by inwithhenew on February 24 2010, 12:20
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You seem not to understand English. Once again I will repeat myself to try get the message to squarhead. James Myburgh's articles have a racial undertone and he must stop arguing his points using race.
@Mike your comment is just a waste of . .more
by Jojo on February 24 2010, 12:34
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Julius Malema once more is a threat to Capitalists and not JZ and the Country. Apartheid SA nationalised mines and parastatals to the benefit of the minority. Now that JM talks about it African failed states are used to bring fear to us.
by Pops on February 24 2010, 12:39
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It amases me that Zuma defends somebody (Malema) that has insulted the PRESIDENT OF RSA by calling him "Sweethearts". By Zuma's non reaction to this shows what kind of a poor leader he is. How is it that everybody in the ANC has ignored this insulting . .more
by bab on February 24 2010, 13:19
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sound familiar. At a guess I would think that SA is half way there taking into account all the inefficiencies brought about by the BBEEE reverse discrimination policies of the ANC government!
@Plutarch- I wonder when Zoooma is going to apologize to . .more
by Zorba on February 24 2010, 13:21
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When ever the top ten richest persons list is published every black in that list is an incumbent President of an African country eg Mobutu Sese Seko and the present Dos Santos of Angola.
That is what nationalisation is all about so please, . .more
by Mike on February 24 2010, 13:47
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Why did Germany and Japan not go the nationalisation route after the war and which is the most successful economy between the UK Germany and Japan.
by Mike on February 24 2010, 13:50
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Germany went the social market route and the social costs can outweigh the labour costs. Note however, Germany did pass a law in 2009 allowing nationalisation of banks - so again, they accept in certain circumstances nationalisation is not a bad thing. . .more
by inwiththenew on February 24 2010, 15:00
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Going to the Forbes rich list, tell me when you come across one of these leaders. Very very low down. Does this not emphasise the point that business makes vastly more profit than Government and reinforces the point that an alternative is to nationalise . .more
by @Mike v. jojo on February 24 2010, 15:28
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apologies.. I was too keen to push the submit button to check...!
by inwiththenew on February 24 2010, 15:29
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to keep our democracy alive. But what is arguably most important for a living democracy in a developing country, hungry for socialism, is to allow due processes of law to take their course without any hindrances from the powerful, and arguably to shelve . .more
by passrsby on February 24 2010, 15:57
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the only reason i could think of that enables him to get away with it is that he has some dirt on the big chief in charge....
by siment on February 24 2010, 16:04
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Not only in Africa are there examples. Most of what was nationalised in England is again private enterprise.
Gunnar
by Gunnar on February 24 2010, 16:09
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If white people had embrassed tranformation in this country we would not be having the kind of questions being asked today. Lack of opportunities for black youth, total surbotage of economic transformation has created young people who find resonance with . .more
by Gambu on February 24 2010, 16:18
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No-one wants to debate Julie on nationalisation because it would be a debate that has already taken place, and nationalisation proponents lost the debate.
The Forbes list contains capitalists as the richest because capitalism has made their . .more
by Jeff on February 24 2010, 16:53
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To me i do not think nationalisation of mines is not an option. Education, skills development, incentives for job creation and labour policies favouring employment creation are the key.
I do not even want to discuss looting that has occurred in . .more
by Jojo on February 24 2010, 17:06
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To Jojo and Iskariot - The whole of Africa is an example of what happens when "nationalisation" or "land grabbing" takes place. How productive are the farms in Zim now belonging to "the people"? Why does South Africa have to feed them? Only Capitalism . .more
by Rentia on February 24 2010, 17:21
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Does these people even know how to mine? What it entails ? Do they posses the knowledge, skills and guts it takes to run a mining company ? How on earth will they be stopped to fill their own designer suit's pockets and the pockets of their Mercs and . .more
by MARIE VAN GRAAN - WESTONARIA on February 24 2010, 17:21
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You claim that :
"If white people had embraced transformation in this country we would not be having the kind of questions being asked today. Lack of opportunities for black youth, total sabotage of economic transformation has created young . .more
by flebus on February 24 2010, 18:19
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In Latin; "L'ANC รจ pieno di suini grassi" means that the ANC is full of fat pigs.
by Eddy on February 24 2010, 19:36
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And what do you think of Eskom's importing skilled blacks from other countries to meet their EE quotas, and then have nothing for them to do? Is a system of racial quotas defensible in a so-called non-racist society, and does it not reflect poorly on . .more
by flebus on February 24 2010, 19:41
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Siestog, Jojo, these boere are very rude and condescending. They forget that they forced most blacks to have inferior education and live in impoverished environments.
@ Voortrekker. You are a very well-educated and well spoken knob. I'm sure . .more
by Hectic on February 24 2010, 19:41
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What you got against pigs? They're too smart to join the ANC; try skunks, that's what Mbeki was. Maybe vultures and hyenas are more fitting metaphors for the ANC scum.
by Oompah on February 24 2010, 20:59
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In order for Malema to make the argument of nationalisation of our south african mining industry he should be making the claim/charge on behalf of the Communism supposedly inherent in the SACP. He is not a pure member of the SACP, self-evidently, . .more
by Ekenj on February 24 2010, 22:45
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Considering that Tokyo,Cyril and Patric(all ANC black men) own more than 67% of the mines and Zuma and Mandelas grandsons are buying up mined out empty mines(why?) like there is no tomorrow, this is not about reclaiming black minerals for black . .more
by Fred on February 25 2010, 09:14
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I believe that all that suscribe to Moneyweb have a level of intellignce nad education worthy of holding their own in an intelligent debate.
Now that that is out of the way, I 100% agree with @Jojo and other raciallt blinded goons. Juju, Zuma, . .more
by Eyes wide open on February 25 2010, 11:39
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Could not agree more that capitalists are busy positioning themselves for what they would be pushing for. This would again fall out of any debate as to who would benefit on what was nationalised and why. I think in that debate, it remains that for a . .more
by inwiththenew on February 25 2010, 12:56
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Neither Eskom or Transnet or the Sewage treatment plants are run by capitalists in South Africa and yet they are a disaster.Nationalisation in Africa goes hand in hand with the politicians and the coeterie surrounding them and it is a smoke screen for the . .more
by Mike on February 25 2010, 16:51
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I am cleverly pretending to be Robin Hood, steal from the rich mining companies with their "means of production" (sic) and giving to the poor elite.
But I am very clever and what I am actually doing is stealing from the poor, you know, the ones that . .more
by Julius Ceaser on March 01 2010, 22:54
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I just got lot of money.
What is better mercedes benz or BMW?
by Petrus on March 17 2010, 18:09
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You say "...otherwise the voters would have not voted for ANC..." as if the voters are intelligent enough to understand what they are voting for?
People who's vote can be bought with a R20 food parcel weeks before the election are not very . .more
by Scorpion on March 25 2010, 14:47
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... makes me think of Zimbabwe and SA's presidents.........
by Fielasting on April 09 2010, 09:45
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