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The ANC after Mangaung

RW Johnson
21 January 2013

RW Johnson questions whether Cyril Ramaphosa can save the party from itself

Since the Mangaung conference of the ANC there has been a good deal of comment suggesting that the re-appearance of Cyril Ramaphosa in the top leadership offers a major chance of renewal in the party, especially since Gwede Mantashe has said Ramaphosa will effectively become the new prime minister.

Already there is a good deal of speculation of Ramaphosa even taking over as President just four years from now, in 2017, or even sooner, thanks to Zuma's continuing legal difficulties. Such speculation, I would argue, is not only wishful and naïve but reveals a fundamental ignorance about the nature of ANC rule.

The folly of the "Good Guy-Bad Guy" theory

A great deal of popular commentary (including that by the DA) suggests that the first five years of ANC governance under Mandela was a golden age, something we should strive "to get back to"; indeed the DA appears to believe this so thoroughly that it continually tries to situate itself as Mandela's true heirs. This golden age, again following popular commentary, was then followed by a silver age in which South Africa was led by a brilliant intellectual, Mbeki, with particular distinction in the foreign affairs field, but, sadly, with perplexing folly when it came to Aids and Zimbabwe.

When Mbeki was thrown out there followed an age of even baser metal in which the country was ruled by a corrupt and uneducated know-nothing who provided no leadership at all. Hence the drama of Ramaphosa's return to the scene, a partial return to the golden age.

Such a perspective represents a complete misreading of our recent history. Mandela's presidency was anything but a golden age. The old man had not the slightest idea of how to run a government and it was a mess, saved only by Mbeki's frantic back-stopping. An early casualty was the rule of law. The Shell House shootings - murders carried out in public view in the middle of Johannesburg - were successfully covered up by Mandela's bluster.

Mandela himself started out full of reconciliatory forgiveness but soon got fed up with whites who left and said "good riddance" to them. His speech at the ANC's Mafikeng conference was the most reactionary and anti-democratic ever given by an ANC leader. In it he attacked opposition parties and NGOs as part of a "counter-revolutionary conspiracy" which was encouraging crime, stealing weapons, subverting the economy and building up "alternative structures including intelligence machineries as well as armed formations". The speech only just stopped short of calling for the complete suppression of all opposition.

Meanwhile, at an early stage all cabinet co-ordination was lost. Ministers did much what they liked and they were certainly not going to tolerate an RDP Minister interfering in their departments, a major reason for the early demise of the RDP.

Policy was, inevitably, haphazard and blundering. The enforced retirement en masse of the country's best schoolteachers was a blunder of historic proportions, permanently downgrading the whole education system. This was followed by continual hammer blows to the educational system, of which the imposition and then abandonment of Outcomes Based Education was the greatest. Aids was simply ignored, allowing the virus to spread like wildfire.

For the first few years the government had no economic policy at all. It then lurched into Gear but never had the guts to implement that policy fully. Mandela delighted in telling business audiences that he "hadn't the first idea about economics". They applauded his frankness but it hardly helped the credibility of his government's policies.

Meanwhile, affirmative action boomed and the systematic ruination of the civil service, the parastatals and the entire state machine began. Corruption also really took off under Mandela, with the notorious arms deal a high point. Mandela more or less lost interest in being President after 1997 and needed continuous prodding to do his job for the two years after that.

What was really different about the Mandela period was that most whites and the media were so relieved to find that ANC rule meant a dear old man, full of generous instincts, firmly non-racist and eager for reconciliation and also with a nice sense of humour, that they were swept up into a sort of feel-good enthusiasm for the New South Africa. This was all very nice but as has been observed, "The operation was not a success and the patient was left in a much weakened state. But no one noticed because not only the patient but all the observers were under anaesthetic at the time."

The Mbeki period which followed saw the continuation of all these disastrous policies and the generalisation of affirmative action to the private sector. Worse, BEE began - a form of licensed corruption and crony capitalism. Mbeki's admirers continually emphasised his giant intellect, a praise-song Mbeki very much wanted to hear. 

He liked to pontificate about colonialism in, for example, Haiti and Sudan, but any examination of his writings showed many gross historical inaccuracies. His intellectual ambitions far outran his real capacity. Mbeki attempted to centralise all power in his own hands and the media ran scared before him. Worst of all, of course, was his wilful Aids denialism, which cost an estimated 365,000 lives, and his persistent support of Mugabe.

The Zuma period has essentially been a further continuation. Corruption and factionalism have raged ever more openly, but all the seeds of this had been sown long before Zuma's arrival in power. The two great gains were a noticeably tougher attitude towards Mugabe and a complete reversal of Mbeki's Aids denialism. Credit for this last development is often given to the Minister of Health, Aaron Motsoaledi. He doubtless deserves much of this praise, but it should be realised that the key decision was Zuma's. He may be an uneducated man but on this subject he was simply far more sensible than the more educated Mbeki.

By simply reversing Mbeki's policy and ensuring that anti-retroviral drugs get to those who are HIV+ Zuma has brought down Aids deaths in 2005 (under Mbeki) of 257,000 to 194,000 in 2011. In the same period life expectancy has risen from 54 to 60 and mother-to-child transmission of HIV has fallen from 8.5% to 2.7%.[1] This is, of course, just another way of measuring Mbeki's genocidal policy. He is extremely fortunate not to be on trial either in Johannesburg or in the Hague. The demise of Mbeki's folly has also seen the disappearance from the scene of the crazy international Aids denialists (as well as the local Traditional Healers Organization) who were subsidized by Mbeki, deeply disgracing South Africa in the eyes of the world.

Zuma will probably never again do such a fine thing: he has saved hundreds of thousands of lives and removed a great stain from South Africa's international image.

The other great gain was mainly inadvertent. Under Mandela and Mbeki the press had been subservient and scared and it was extremely difficult for the Opposition to get its views heard. Once the Mbeki vs. Zuma battle opened up, however, the press seized its opportunity and became far more independent and critical. Having won power, Zuma inevitably wanted the press to retreat back inside its old kennel, but the deed has been done and, as Hillary Clinton observed of her husband, "that's a very difficult dog to keep on the porch".

Indeed, Zuma is criticized and ridiculed far more than any preceding South African President. Most to blame are his failure to lead on many policy areas and the persistent reports of corruption within his closest circles, together with the wider pandemic of corruption which envelops the ANC as a whole. The party now is merely a federation of corrupt warlords, all exacting money from their subjects like so many medieval barons.

It is only when they are unwise enough to oppose Zuma that any notice is taken of their corruption. Zuma's triumph at the ANC's Mangaung Conference was essentially the triumph of a Tammany boss, punishing foes by cutting them off from favours while distributing patronage to his own loyalists. A corrupt provincial congress here, a corrupt warlord there, a rigged election here and there, the careful packing of branch meetings and every other sort of shenanigan became merely routine.

A single garment, cut from whole cloth

The key point to realise is that African nationalism is a garment made from a single whole cloth - in the same way that Afrikaner nationalism was before it. There is in such parties a sort of bubble, a closed-off world of a national ethos perceived in one very particular way. It matters not that a Malan or Strijdom comes or goes (or an Mbeki or a Zuma): there is a single, confident guiding ethos and it is quite impervious of the fact that the rest of the world thinks it is wrong or mad. In that case, by definition, the rest of the world is wrong.

Inside that parochial bubble everything is always for the very best. Moreover, the changes which happen within that bubble - the gradual evolution of apartheid from a mere slogan into a fully philosophized and implemented religion - are always immanent. What the ratings agencies are really telling you - just as they told apartheid governments in the 1980s - is that your assumptions and those of the rest of the world are increasingly at variance. Sooner or later, one has to awake from that parochial dream.

But the ANC is not ready - yet - to do that. In that sense it really doesn't make any difference whether Motlanthe or Zuma is President: nothing very much could or would change. Just as it is wrong to regard the Mandela period as a lost golden age - the downward slide began then in earnest - so much of the speculation about the elevation of Ramaphosa is unwarranted.

It is true that he is a competent and modern man, economically literate and, perhaps above all, part of the internal struggle, the democratic and multi-racial UDF, a very different pedigree than that of the Robben Islanders and exiles who have ruled South Africa since 1994. But a moment's thought suggests that the idea of a Prime Minister Ramaphosa driving through the National Development Plan is highly unlikely.

Should he attempt this he would be following exactly in the shoes of the RDP Minister, Jay Naidoo. He would come up hard against the fact that implementing the NDP would mean interfering in almost every ministry and that the breakdown in cabinet co-ordination under Mandela has now had twenty years to dig in. Forcibly overcoming those resistances would mean offending many different interest groups and institutional interests. This is not something Zuma has ever been willing to do and Ramaphosa would have no hope if Zuma did not support him all the way.

Cyril Ramaphosa and the failure of ANC governance

Beyond that there is the simple fact that ANC policy has been fundamentally mistaken in many areas. Affirmative action has destroyed the state machine and the parastatals; BEE has encouraged corruption; labour legislation has helped hobble industry and lower productivity; land policy has seen the destruction of food production; and the legislation on mining threatens to kill the golden goose on which the entire country depends. What is needed is someone bold enough to roll back these mistakes in one area after another. This would require great determination and political strength. Would Ramaphosa really do that?

Perhaps the most dramatic sign of national decline has been the continuing fall in the country's credit ratings. Listen to Ramaphosa on that: "If the rating agencies were to pause and look closely at the direction that the ANC is taking this country in....I am confident that the (recent) downgrading should be turned into an upgrade. We have great policies." and "I would like the business community and the rating agencies to look closely at the policies, not just look at the reports and the headlines...study our policies."[2] In other words, the same old ANC nonsense, a blithe confidence that the ANC has got it right and that we all just need to see things their way.

This sort of denialism is almost as absurd as Mbeki's Aids denialism. The facts are that South Africa is running an increasing budget deficit and current account deficit, that both poverty and unemployment have increased vertiginously under ANC rule, that the government is in the ridiculous situation of having an economy which provides 80% of the world's platinum and yet still can't run profitable platinum mines, that the state machine has been destroyed, that the country's armed forces, something like the 10th strongest in the world in 1990, are now as weak as a baby, that our once cheap and plentiful electricity has become rare and expensive, that local authorities throughout the land are being looted, that cadre deployment is crippling the parastatals. And so, on and on. ANC policies have been a complete disaster, inaugurating a period of unprecedented national decline. This is clear to almost everyone, including the rating agencies - but not, apparently, to Cyril Ramaphosa.

It is worth pointing out that the problems we are confronting today are not just what has happened to pop up as "events, dear boy, events", as Harold Macmillan would say. They are the result of the cascading effects of ANC policy failures over nearly 20 years. True, Zuma's selection of Ramaphosa as his deputy is a sign of a recognition within the ANC that some sort of turn-around is needed, not least in the ANC's disastrous public image. But it is this cascading, cumulative effect of governance failure which makes our current problems so difficult.

Moreover, it is important to realise that the ANC and SACP never foresaw any of these problems - in a sense they weren't meant to exist. Those who drew up the Freedom Charter spoke of how the doors of learning would be opened, for example: the assumption was that there would be good schools (and hospitals) and that all that was required was a splendid and sweeping removal of all restrictions on free access. There was absolutely no thought that the standards of educational and health provision would collapse under ANC governance, any more than there was any discussion as to how to control corruption.

Indeed, it was assumed that in the new, democratic and post-apartheid society, corruption would not exist. The naiveté of such thinking now seems breath-taking. There was similarly no thought of how policing and law and order would collapse under ANC rule. True, towards the end of the struggle there were claims that the ANC had witnessed the failures of many governments in Africa and would therefore know how to avoid their mistakes.

In fact the ANC has repeated virtually all the mistakes of African governments elsewhere - right down to the wrong-headed refusal to invest sufficiently in power stations so that South Africa has joined the long list of African countries to have problems over power supply. This was the one and only time that Thabo Mbeki apologised to the electorate, for he knew all too well how symbolic - and how representative of Africa - such a failure was.

That is to say, to reverse current trends would not only require the repeal of a great deal of the ANC's legislation of the last nineteen years but it would also require a sharp alteration from the ANC's historic mind-set. In ANC terms, what is required is nothing less than a South African Gorbachev who abandons the failed initiatives of decades past and consigns his own party to the scrap-heap. There is very little likelihood of such a figure emerging within the ANC leadership and, as he himself would be the first to declare, there is no reason to believe that Cyril Ramaphosa is such a person.

The ethnic dimension

It has often been observed that while the ANC has a numerical majority, it is still culturally a minority. The truth of this has seldom been more apparent, for the Zuma government has had to endure a torrent of criticism and mockery unprecedented in South African history. After all the facile talk of "high roads", of being a "winning nation", and foolish attempts to persuade Pretoria that South Africa should behave like an Asian Tiger, there is now open talk of the tipping point to failed state status.

The South African media can see that we are at present quite obviously a losing nation and they do not like it. Their particular bile is vented on the blundering, foot-in-mouth Zuma: even the Malema-ites mock him with gestures of a shower poised over his head - Zapiro's mockery has sunk in even to the furthest left reaches of the ANC coalition.

Unsurprisingly, the KwaZulu-Natal ANC sees a media conspiracy of bias in such attacks. The barely coded message is "This is how you treat a Zulu President: when we had Xhosa Presidents you treated them with respect." There is some truth to this. Among both black and white, and perhaps partly to offset the alarm occasioned by the Zulus' warrior reputation, there has long been a tendency to dismiss the Zulus as "peasants" and "stupid".

I remember all too well how Anthony Sampson, who spent much of his time in the company of ANC-supporting Xhosas, upbraiding me for attempting to give equal treatment to the ANC and IFP during their bitter war in Natal. I argued that each side deserved a fair crack of the whip. He was contemptuous: "let's face it, the Zulus are just bloody stupid" (a ridiculous comment for both sides were Zulus). In all other matters Anthony would have been a pillar of political correctness but when it came to Zulus it was perfectly OK to indulge in tribal vilification.

This is a not an uncommon bias and so the fact that Zuma is a Zulu has licensed a far more unrestrained style of criticism. The pent-up frustration felt by so many at the follies of ANC rule now has an outlet. In fact, as above, ANC rule is cut from a single cloth, but it is "legitimate" to tear into Zuma as an uneducated Zulu peasant, in a way that would have been unthinkable under Mandela or Mbeki. 

It is worth pausing to consider Ramaphosa's ascent in the light of the ethnic factor. One Zulu former cabinet minister told me "We might have a Venda president (i.e. like Ramaphosa) one day, but not in this generation. It's like America having a president who is a gay Jewish lesbian. It could happen one day, but no way can it happen now." It is worth remembering that only in the 1950s did the ANC show signs of becoming a mass  movement, of posing a genuine challenge to the government: hitherto it had not really mattered, which was why it was never banned.

Once it became significant an Nguni (Luthuli) took over as its President in 1952. Over the past sixty years the party's president has changed five times but the one constant is that an Nguni has always held the presidency.  Once the ANC returned home there was an inevitability about the leadership passing to a Zulu, for the Zulus are not merely the largest Nguni group but they are far more cohesive and self-confident than the Xhosas.

They have no doubt that they are a nation in their own right. They have two Zulu-language newspapers and Zulu is the lingua franca even of most Reef townships. The Xhosa Nostra seemed impressive only as long as Tambo, Mandela or Mbeki was in charge. Once the presidency was lost they seem disunited, at odds with one another and with no natural leader.

The glad assumption that Ramaphosa would immediately take over as Deputy President has been dispelled: Motlanthe will remain in office until May 2014. And it is too easily assumed that Ramaphosa will then take over. If Mangaung made one thing clear it was the complete dominance of KwaZulu-Natal. (Where will the BRICS summit be held? Pretoria? Jo'burg? Cape Town? No, Durban.) In the end the KZN slate was simply voted through intact to become the ANC slate. Ramaphosa owes his position to that - and to Zuma's decision to deploy Ramaphosa's credibility in his own cause. No wonder Ramaphosa has quickly set out on a charm offensive in KZN. But it is not difficult to imagine that, come the crunch, KZN will want one of its own to succeed Zuma.

Already there are mutterings that Zweli Mkhize may contest the Deputy Presidency in 2014 and one may be assured that when it comes to the actual succession to Zuma, to be decided in December 2017, there will be not one but quite possibly several Zulu hats in the ring - Mkhize, Jeff Radebe, perhaps even Blade Nzimande. Jeff Radebe has served in every government since 1994, is thus the most senior man in Cabinet, and was elected in first place to the National Working Committee. It would be a brave punter indeed who bet on Ramaphosa surmounting that obstacle.

There is, finally, age to consider. Zuma is already 70, Ramaphosa 60. Average African life expectancy is 60. In May 2014, when he takes office for his second term, Zuma will be 72. The risk that he will either die or no longer be making sense before his second term expires must be considerable. This may be Ramaphosa's best chance for if the presidency fell vacant in mid-term, Ramaphosa would succeed automatically, Venda or not. If not, in 2019 Ramaphosa will be 67, surely rather old to be starting a presidential term? Mkhize would be 63. (Jeff Radebe would be 66.)

For, of course, the ANC is ever more clearly becoming a male gerontocracy. It should be recognised that authoritarian parties quite normally became gerontocratic and, ultimately, dynastic, with family members privileged to succeed. In the Soviet Union of the 1980s the old joke was "Why is the Politburo so full of octogenarians?" Answer: "Because the nonagenarians keep dying off." Similarly, when Todor Zhivkov was finally overthrown in Bulgaria he was 78, and had been attempting to bring in his son to succeed him.

Mao died in office at 82 and his wife, Jiang Qing, attempted to succeed him. In Rumania, Nicolae Ceaucescu was 71 when he was overthrown and shot by a firing squad, along with his wife, Elena, whom he had made into a virtual co-ruler. The couple went to their death in comic opera style, singing the Internationale. In North Korea Kim Il Sung ruled until his death aged 82 and was succeeded first by his son and now his grandson - a perfectly monarchical succession.

In Cuba Fidel Castro ruled for 49 years when he retired, also aged 82 - and was succeeded by his brother, Raul, already aged 77. The pattern is too pronounced to be accidental. Already we have had rule by Thabo Mbeki, son of a movement aristocrat. Perhaps we had better steel ourselves for rule by Mandla Mandela, Lindiwe Sisulu or one of Zuma's huge and still growing clan.

RW Johnson

Footnotes:

 

[1] All figures from Mail and Guardian, January 4 2013

[2] Business Report, Sunday Independent, December 23 2012

 

This article was published with the assistance of the Friedrich-Naumann-Stiftung für die Freiheit (FNF). The views presented in the article are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of FNF.

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Comments

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 responses to this article

Almost 20 years of SA history in a nutshell
Excellent article, well worth a read.

by No such thing as a free lunch on January 21 2013, 23:44
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Wow and Gosh!
What a great read! I can't wait to read the comments to follow.
Oh boy! There will be MUCH foaming at the mouth and MUCH bluster!

by RogerH on January 22 2013, 00:04
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ANC bans internet accounts
The ANC continues to ban internet critics. News24, Fin24, - I'm sure it is no coincidence that many users are banned when they are critical of ANC policies or decisions.

by Anonymous on January 22 2013, 00:38
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zulu-xhosa bit
Bril article RW, but the one thing I don't agree with is that Zuma is looked down on because he is a Zulu, whereas the other leaders weren't. The real reason people make fun of Zuma and didn't make fun of the others are because they had degrees, behaved . .more

by multi851 on January 22 2013, 00:45
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Zuma will get a 3rd, 4rth, 5th, 6th, 7th term - he will rule like Mugabe till he is 90
I won't be so hopeful of change. 30+ more years to come before Zuma is no more.

by Nasdaq7 on January 22 2013, 00:46
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what a great article indeed!
it's true that Ramaphosa will be there for a little while .while he's still busy enjoying the cake zweli mkhize will come in and take over as deputy as R.W johnson said earlier on . It now appears very clear how we south africans are in terms of who we . .more

by nkandla village on January 22 2013, 02:47
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the zoola nostra
I wonder what Steven Friedman would say about this

by pickle on January 22 2013, 05:16
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the anc after manguang
the anc has metastasized from the national party....it's another form of the same thing, in a different era, called and labeled "democracy", those ignorant enough will believe this....blood has been shed, tears have rolled, the change we envisaged, has . .more

by vincent on January 22 2013, 07:26
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Forlorn hopes of those blinded by Mandela's charm
My compliments for a giant of an article well researched and making sense.

Unfortunately, also laying out the path we must walk on the way to perdition. Most of us have been blinded by Mandela, the "great, charming old man" which gave us hope. . .more

by Animal Farm on January 22 2013, 07:40
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@ Johnson
If you have evidence that all Vendas are gay Jewish lesbians then I think you might be on to a great research grant

by . on January 22 2013, 07:48
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Unless SA gets rid of AA/BEE nothing can save the country from economic collapse
Hitler ALSO claimed that the Jews were "unfairly advantaged". This political ploy of targetting an educated minority to blame for the woes of the uneducated and hedonistic majority in order to get votes has proved disasterous everywhere:

Jews in . .more

by Lyndall Beddy on January 22 2013, 07:48
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Good Books
In a number of Good Books (Bibles)- the end is loosely described as "floods, , snow, fire, destruction, , bombs, fraud, corruption, anarcy" etc.
Is the end knocking ?

by Valie on January 22 2013, 08:18
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@Lyndall Beddy
Hmm... the real issue not BBEEE, the real issue is that there is no money in moving forward. as a family friend of Jacob Zuma once told me "There is Money in keeping the oppressed oppressed, That is why South Africa struggles to progress" (PS This was a . .more

by AndreasBE on January 22 2013, 08:43
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@Mageza We Skepe(KNMD)
Attitudes and outbursts like yours is the reason why the oppressed still remain oppressed.... You should really travel a bit and indulge in other cultures besides your own deluded reality.

It is all in your head .!


by AndreasBE on January 22 2013, 09:02
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Africans in Africa
Good stuff, RW; Illustrating the irrelevancey of democracy in Africa.
Not a comforting picture.
For me Mandela's legacy is entitlement and the begging bowl, as well as steeling past successes, not building new "African" successes.

by The Clever Native on January 22 2013, 09:07
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Stupid comment.
@Mageza. Typical response. An immediate agressive attack on well researched artical that has clearly touched a nerve. If the detail is wrong please tell us why, with some facts. I doubt that any reaction will follow but for another death threat.
PS . .more

by Dean on January 22 2013, 09:19
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Simplistic analysis that romanticises history
Firstly I suspected the honorable Johnson is convinced that history is made by made by individuals. In that case his long narrative has reached a logical end. But in reality we all know that individuals just come play their role and leave the historical . .more

by Miya on January 22 2013, 09:56
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There is the small matter of 500 000 murders in 18 years
That is what defines the ANC 1994 - 2012

by Brett on January 22 2013, 09:58
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Just Brilliant
A master paper on recent SA History
Unfortunately, the thieving & asinine cadres will learn nothing from it.
As they say; you can't save a committed suicidal

by Injala Apera on January 22 2013, 10:00
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@Lyndall Beddy
Good Point - The ANC are fast becomming the New Nazi Party of Africa!

by Democrat on January 22 2013, 10:42
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@RW Johnson
Interesting analysis, but full of factual inaccuracies as well downright racist fantasies, eg; The so called "Shell House massacre" happened under in March 1994 under De Klerk's presidency, Nelson Mandela only became president on 10 May 1994. This was . .more

by Skhumza on January 22 2013, 10:42
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Apartheid was SEPERATIST not like American and Nazi Racism
Hitler ALSO claimed the Jews were "unfairly advantaged"

ALL AA/BEE is is targetting an educated minority to give an uneducated majority a scapegoat for their woes and to get their votes, and is the same for:

Jews in Nazi Germany; Tamils . .more

by Lyndall Beddy on January 22 2013, 11:24
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Ignorance...
"Indeed, it was assumed that in the new, democratic and post-apartheid society, corruption would not exist.

The naiveté of such thinking now seems breath-taking."

Of course the (largely non-Christian) ANC believed that corruption . .more

by Paul C on January 22 2013, 11:24
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Denialism, Entitlement and Disadvantaged are psychotic symptoms
So why be surprised that Black America and Black Africa have now become psychotic?

Look up the analysis and explanation of the schzoid symptoms of Denialist, Entitelement and Disadvantaged claims in the book "People of the Lie: An Analysis of . .more

by Lyndall Beddy on January 22 2013, 11:31
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R W Johnson
Great article, Bill. I would, however, like to think (hope) that Ramaphosa represents more than just himself. There are important segments of the leadership that are also deeply worried about developments under Zuma's presidency - and not least of all . .more

by Dave Steward on January 22 2013, 11:32
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The first rot is the deepest
What I read makes me feel very uncomfortable and irrelevant - but we need to know exactly what is going on in our country. The ANC rot is very deep.

by Acid Mind on January 22 2013, 11:46
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Don't talk C*** Skhumza on January 22 2013, 10:42
that was a few days before the election. Look how long the Marikana inquiry has taken. What could be done in 2 weeks?

Why did Gary Kruser not surrender the AK47s used? Why was he made an assistent Commissioner in the SAPS?

by Brett on January 22 2013, 12:08
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Mangaung after the ANC
It seems as if decisions were taken and promises made in Mangaung - but not kept and now "Cry the beloved Countree". Previously Sharpville use to start and fuel the fire but a neighbouring township took the lead (Zamdela). Not Even Ramaphosa will be able . .more

by Valie on January 22 2013, 12:57
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@ the author
thanks for this input RW.

a great read, and we really are only just boiling frogs, arent we?

the anc are simply breaking absolutely everything, and its so damned easy to break something, but try make something.

where is the . .more

by Eddie on January 22 2013, 13:09
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RW sees through the web of deceit
Cognitive dissonance - the refusal to accept reality in the face of overwhelming evidence - is probably best displayed by the ANC's infantile throwing of their toys out of the cot today in response to the innocuous FNB adverts. The advert I saw was so PC . .more

by Argus Eye on January 22 2013, 13:15
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@ RW Johnson
Thank you for another excellen, sobert article. Recent SA history in a nutshell, indeed, a sharp, free look at saints and scoundrels.

by Theresa Papenfus on January 22 2013, 14:07
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@Skhumza
Tell them again, Cde Skhumza!
Firstly, I find it weird that most respondents praise this article as "well researched". Most information in this article has been in open sources for years! That which is not readily in the media / books, is RW's . .more

by Angus on January 22 2013, 14:32
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@Angus
"You cannot call the Shell House matter as a Massacre by the ANC when it (ANC) was protecting its HQ from invasion of the IFP warriors who were armed by the Military Intelligence (MI) with guns to go and kill the ANC leadership at Shell . .more

by Stephan on January 22 2013, 15:02
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@Lyndall Beddy & Brett
Why don't you 2 just get together and have a 1 night stand so you can bonk the stupidity, racism & hypocrisy out of each other? You're so keen to see this excellent African governmentfail that you'4re deliberately closing your eyes to the progress made . .more

by Skhumza on January 22 2013, 15:10
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@Skhumza
"Cognitive dissonance - the refusal to accept reality in the face of overwhelming evidence.".... Apologies to Argus Eye for the copy and paste.

by kevin on January 22 2013, 15:25
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A bit unbalanced about xenophobia and overlapping identies and aspirations
What you overlook is the effect of xenophobia and overlapping identities. Afrikaners were a very diverse group, and as David Welsh pointed out, changes in Afrikaner nationalism was one of the most important factors that made the abolition of aprtheid . .more

by Cold Fire on January 22 2013, 15:39
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Superficial racist rant
What a relentless quagmire of misinformation dripping with undisguised hatred of the black leader. This is nothing new, one need only take a look at Apartheid bogus ‘history’ books to appreciate the extent of vilification of the black leader. Shaka, . .more

by Veja on January 22 2013, 15:55
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With illegal AK47s by Angus on January 22 2013, 14:32
you know, the kind found in the arms caches the ANC undertook to surrender in terms of the National Peace Accord but somehow never got around to...

Suppose I was to defend my home in the same way?

by Brett on January 22 2013, 16:02
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funny thing.....
if you look at the circus antics of Shabangu and Mantashe vis a vis Anglos then you ought to come swiftly to the conclusion that ramaphosa is just a band-aid used to cover the suppurating infestation of filth that the ANC makes no shame of . .more

by . on January 22 2013, 16:07
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Let's Build South Africa
Skhumza has said it! RW also does touch it in his article. There has been a number of serious challenges still facing this country but there has also been a number of successes that has been realized under the ANC rule but, unfortunately, some sections of . .more

by Angus on January 22 2013, 16:11
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You're not preaching to illiterates now. Siddown. Shut up! Skhumza on January 22 2013, 15:10
If THE STATE's budget was R81 billion, and revenue R140 billion there was a SURPLUS OF R60 billion YOU TWIT!

If Since 1994 economic growth has outstripped power supply and infrastructure enough has been raised by way of additional tax for . .more

by Brett on January 22 2013, 16:14
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Reminds me of that Slabbert article of RW
Not no long ago Bill Johnson wrote an article on Van Zyl Slabbert. In it he portrayed Slabbert as a puppet of Thobo Mbeki, who lost the plot after Dakar. A number of people were not quite amused by that for the simple reason that it was positively false. . .more

by Flower power on January 22 2013, 16:15
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@ Angus
Trouble is, Angus, it's not just your South Africa - I've been on African soil all my life, nearly 60 years, paying taxes for 40. Most of us are in it for the long haul and the path isn't looking very straight. I don't want to go to Perth, which is . .more

by Argus Eye on January 22 2013, 16:36
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Maybe going back home to the run-down UK is not economically viable?
But there are options right here in our internet website; they are advertising Australia Immigration consultants.

by Mageza We Skepe(KNMD) on January 22 2013, 16:44
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@Mageza We Skepe(KNMD)
Are you back again......

You are sort of starting to feel like my next door neighbour(The Drug Dealer).

I report him to the cops and he still remains.....


by AndreasBe on January 22 2013, 17:19
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Fakesters
by . on January 22 2013, 07:48

by . on January 22 2013, 16:07

by . on January 22 2013, 17:23
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@ Flower power on January 22 2013, 16:15
>>"Not no long ago Bill Johnson wrote an article on Van Zyl Slabbert. In it he portrayed Slabbert as a puppet of Thobo Mbeki, who lost the plot after Dakar. A number of people were not quite amused by that for the simple reason that it was positively . .more

by TheDrake on January 22 2013, 18:01
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Atrocious Piece
The glaring fact is that the information for this "research" was exclusively obtained from newspapers. Allister Sparks once said newspapers are the first rough draft of history records. We know that newspapers do often run retractions, because they got it . .more

by Mfengu Zulu on January 22 2013, 18:26
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@ Mfengu
Do us all a favour and go through the article and de-construct it piece by piece thus substantiating your attack on Johnsons conclusions.

Ironically, such a deconstruction would provide profound relief to all those who agree with . .more

by reader on January 22 2013, 18:43
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Real world
The time will come when Skhumza / Veja / Angus / Mfengu will realise that everything that Johnson has said is grounded in reality. Unfortunately for them such realisation will come too late.

The common thread in all their posts is simply to deny . .more

by voter on January 22 2013, 18:54
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Well done RW...
... for peeling off the layer of varnish painted onto Mandela's South Africa by the Western Press, the SAcan Liberal establishment and the vile Western Left and their associates in the Commie World and beyond.

by JVR on January 22 2013, 21:45
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Why switch Mothlanthe for Ramaphosa? GM wasn't the problem.
The sneers and jeers at Zuma has nothing to do with his being Zulu. Many whites have no idea what tribe the various ANC leaders are from. The (in)famous "showerhead" arises from his showering after illicit sex with an HIV+ woman he should have been . .more

by Loudly South African on January 22 2013, 22:03
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Typical retort
My your English is good! Lots of names; no substantiated facts; no real answers; no arguments because you don't really have any!

by @Veja on January 22 2013, 22:41
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Ramaphosa is the fall guy.
The ANC has quite simply run out of options. Ramaphosa is the fall guy and he was only elected so that the ANC could at least say they know how to count and do economics 101. - too little too late, the tidal wave is already on its way and no amount of ANC . .more

by THE BROWN MAN on January 22 2013, 22:50
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@Veja
What a comment. Sounds like a school teacher or second-class academic from somewhere marking an essay. Got to say something even just a whole lot of epithets.

by Amused on January 22 2013, 22:52
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Rubbish
I think if the over zealous racists here would just take the time to read my comment & digest it, if they have a brain, they would see that there is never a basis for an informed discussion based on hearsay, conjecture etc... Obama just said it in his . .more

by Mfengu Zulu on January 23 2013, 04:44
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@ Mfengu
Exactly what one would expect. Still no meaningful argument to refute Johnson. You call us "over zealous racists with no brains" and then say that "name calling is no substitute for politics". Do you understand the concept of irony

If Johnsons . .more

by voter on January 23 2013, 06:43
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@Voter
Second that!!

by AndreasBe on January 23 2013, 09:21
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anc
The anc before Mangaung- a disaster, the anc after Mangaung an even greater disaster.

by wm on January 23 2013, 10:49
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RWJ is simply a relic of the past
Johnson can only appeal to those who have pre-conceived ideas about the ANC and its leadership.

some of the observations are correct, however, one cannot help but see that he racks them up to support his thesis, which is fundamentally a flawed . .more

by Themba on January 23 2013, 11:13
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RWJ - A relic of the past
How do you know that Zulus are more confident than the Xhosas? you are falling into the old style colonial writers. in fact, you are a colonialist. Your presence in South Africa is that of a museum visitor.

South African blacks are an object . .more

by themba on January 23 2013, 11:16
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@ Veja

“Bogus history books”? Perhaps you would care to point us in the right direction then. Recommended reading, links perhaps?

A sober analysis of the ANC’s shortcomings, lucidly stated, is hardly an attack on black leadership’s customs, as . .more

by Marc V on January 23 2013, 11:51
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Subterfuge
I wonder , if one submitted this article without a name to this August body

http://www.africanstudies.ox.ac.uk/msc-african-studies-dissertation

what the result would be ?

I am always fascinated by the hoops Academics are . .more

by Bibliophile on January 23 2013, 12:27
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Point by point retort, you can't be serious?
Honestly do you really think that it is possible to refute this junk point by point?

What should I say to the stupid assertion that there was no cabinet coordination in the Mandela era or that he was a mess, or Zulus are more confident than . .more

by Veja on January 23 2013, 13:13
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The anc after ..
Excellent article, Mandela as president was a rather naive man who mad promises he couldnt keep and who was kind to whites, Mbeki is a mass murderer, Zuma is a wannbe dictator who is corrupt and has built himself a palace in anticipation.

by Gaina on January 23 2013, 13:16
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@ Veja

Nice try Veja, but no cigar. Apart from a little brazen ad hominum dabbling, you have merely reinforced the assertion that the ANC and it's blind supporters are a racist, dictatorial bunch. Not to mention hopelessly defensive. ("We deny", "we reject . .more

by Marc V on January 23 2013, 14:31
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Ki ki kiki! Too funny! Veja on January 23 2013, 13:13
My aunt was one of the teachers bullied into taking a retrenchment package. The her school was without anyone who had training in remedial education.

Mary Metcalf was such a find....

Well done Madiba! Stopped the disgraceful practice . .more

by Brett on January 23 2013, 14:32
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SARS, SAPS, SANDF
SAPS and SANDF are functional ? Are you serious. As for SARS the trick was IT expertise by underlings who had b-all to do with the ANC which was offset by inefficiency and corruption in just about every other parastatal.
ANC Isn't . .more

by @Veja on January 23 2013, 15:17
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The NP imploded, why not the ANC?
The problem that I have with your assumptions is that if an apparent indestructable hegemonic monolyth like the NP could just simply disappear from the political lanscape within 5 years, why could this not happen to the ANC? Watch them implode! The . .more

by Black Sparrow on January 23 2013, 16:16
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Regse Dweepers
Regses wat sommer namens die afrikaner praat sonder enige MANDAAD ????

http://satruth.co.za/regsedweepers

by Kunaan on January 24 2013, 12:47
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@ Veja
What are you serious Veja "Mandela inherited a bankrupt state that was brazenly looted by the Nats and he turned it around" What happened to Zim which was the breadbasket of Africa or shall I rather ask what happened to the whole of Africa.

What . .more

by Mike on January 24 2013, 13:45
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AIDS denialism
Bill has not mentioned that Zuma was Deputy president in the Mbeki years and headed the National AIDS Council. He never once challenged the denialism of Mbeki because he feared he might lose his job. So he has to take massive responsibility for the . .more

by Costa Gazi on January 29 2013, 14:36
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Future
I cannot see a bright future for sa - it is just another african country riddled with arrogant thieving useless parasites

by Pleb on January 30 2013, 13:05
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