QLFS 4thQ 2020: Unemployment rate rises to 32,5% - StatsSA

On the expanded definition unemployment rate is at 42,6%

Quarterly Labour Force Survey (QLFS) – Q4:2020

22 February 2021

The results of the Quarterly Labour Force Survey (QLFS) for the fourth quarter of 2020 show that the number of employed persons increased by 333 000 to 15,0 million in the fourth quarter of 2020, and the number of unemployed persons also increased by 701 000 to 7,2 million compared to the third quarter of 2020, resulting in an increase of 1,0 million (up by 4,9%) in the number of people in the labour force. The number of discouraged work-seekers increased by 235 000 (8,7%), and the number of people who were not economically active for reasons other than discouragement decreased by 1,1 million (7,4%) between the two quarters, resulting in a net decrease of 890 000 in the not economically active population.

The movement was proportionately more towards the unemployed than for the employed, which resulted in a significant increase of 1,7 percentage points in the official unemployment rate to 32,5% - the highest since the start of the QLFS in 2008. The unemployment rate according to the expanded definition of unemployment decreased by 0,5 of a percentage point to 42,6% in quarter 4 2020 compared to quarter 3 2020.

Employment increased in all sectors in quarter 4 2020. Formal sector employment increased by 189 000 (1,8%); Informal sector employment by 65 000 (2,6%); Private households by 76 000 (6,8%), and employment in Agriculture increased by 2 000 (0,3%). Employment increased in all industries, except Finance and Mining. The industries which gained the most jobs were Community and social services (170 000) and Construction (86 000). Compared to quarter 4 2019, employment contracted in all industries. Most job losses were observed in Finance (256 000), Community and social services (241 000) and Manufacturing (230 000).

Additional questions were included in the quarter 4 2020 questionnaire, as with quarter 2 and 3 of 2020, to capture changes brought about by the national lockdown. The results indicate that, of the 15,0 million persons who were employed in quarter 4 2020, almost eight out of ten people (78,3%) were expected to work during the national lockdown by the companies/organisations they work for. Those who actually worked were predominately men in most industries, except in the Community and socialservices sector and Private households, where the majority were women. About nine out of ten people employed within the Construction industry who worked during the lockdown, were men.

Those who were expected to work in the reference week during the national lockdown but could not do any work during that period indicated the national lockdown as the main reason for not actually working (66,0%). Compared to the 3rd quarter of 2020 where 10,9% indicated that they worked from home, this proportion declined to 8,0% in the 4th quarter of 2020. Working from home was more prevalent in Gauteng and Western Cape and among Professionals and Managers. The majority of those in employment continued to receive pay during the lockdown. However, those with lower levels of education were more likely to receive reduced salaries than those with higher levels of education.

Editor’s note: Due to the lockdown restrictions, Stats SA continued to collect data telephonically in the 4th quarter of 2020, unlike the usual face-to-face interviews. As such, data could not be collected from the full sample but only from households for which contact numbers were available. The bias brought about by this has been adjusted for, and the details on how the adjustment was done are contained in the report.

Issued byGwen Lehloenya on behalf of Statistics South Africa, 22 February 2021