Peace &Reconciliation
11 March 2021
Those of us who lived through the remarkable geopolitical transformations that occurred in the early 1990s will remember the spirit of optimism, a sense that humanity was entering upon a new age of peace, freedom and global cooperation that prevailed during that time. That optimism was perhaps best encapsulated by political scientist Francis Fukuyama, who in his influential book The End of History and the Last Man (1992) argued that with the end of the Cold War, Western liberal democracy had emerged triumphant as the final form of human government and that it was only a matter of time before the freedoms enjoyed in the West would inevitably spread to the rest of the world.
This in turn would ease the path towards achieving global peace, since democratic states by their very nature seek to resolve conflicts by a give-and-take process of dialogue and negotiations. South Africa’s negotiated transition to democracy later in the decade lent further credence to Fukuyama’s thesis.
Thirty years later, the mood is a great deal less sanguine. As reputable research bodies like Freedom House and the Economist Intelligence Unit have shown, global freedom has been in steady retreat for at least a decade. Nor is the world a more peaceful place. In North Africa and the Middle East, the so-called ‘Arab Spring’ turned out to be a false dawn, the Israeli-Palestinian peace process has all but permanently stalled and countries like Syria, Yemen, Libya and Iraq continue to be plagued by deadly internal strife. These conflicts, moreover, frequently impact further afield, as occurred last week when Iranian-sponsored Houthi rebels in Yemen launched a major bombing attack on key oil facilities in Saudi Arabia.
The picture is not all bleak, however. Last year four countries – the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Sudan and Morocco – decided to normalise relations with Israel, a country they had been inveterately hostile towards ever since its establishment. These breakthroughs have been widely acclaimed as heralding a hopeful new era of peace, reconciliation and cooperation, not just for Israel and its neighbours but for the region as a whole.