The optics of the last 24 hours will not be kind for the Democratic Alliance. In comes Helen Zille – in a technocratic position as Federal Chair while out goes Herman Mashaba, the Mayor of Johannesburg. In the midst of attempting to turnaround its own fortunes, the DA have yet again scored a dramatic own goal in not managing the aftermath of its disappointing May performance.
And ultimately, that’s what it’s all about. The ANC constantly looks as though it will splinter – after all, it’s a broad church of very disparate interests. But power still binds it together. The DA’s own ‘broad-church’ experiment seems currently to be floundering and its on-going electoral losses compound this.
Considering the bigger macro picture of national (read ANC) governance in almost every category, you would’ve thought that the opposition project that the DA was aiming at would at least remain cohesive and focussed – even if the personalities seemed dauntingly bigger than they would care to admit. While the party will spin itself as ready to self-correct, the Mashaba resignation has dealt it a fresh body-blow and with that a substantially weakened position ahead of the 2021 local government elections.
The essential (and perhaps now even existential) DA problems remain. The party is increasingly unattractive to both its historic (base) voter as well as its new target demographic. And the last 24 hours have done little to offset this.
Mr Mashaba’s resignation is probably more important than Mrs Zille’s appointment is this debacle. Mashaba sure was a maverick on policy and broader outlook. In many ways, he seemed even more conservative than the liberal DA’s stalwarts he roils against.
While the DA will now try and spin him as an outlier and rarely in-step with prevailing party thinking, he was a forceful personality who occupied a hitherto unexploited position in domestic politics – a populist conservative free-marketer who was anti-immigration to boot.